July 16, 2008 - 11:22am

Q2 numbers are up, now let’s take a look under the hood

Earlier in the month I took a look ahead at the FEC numbers that were about to be posted. Well they are up now and we can see how everyone faired.

 

1st Congressional District

Ann Kirkpatrick, Jeffrey Brown, Howard Shanker and Mary Kim Titla are all competing for the Democratic nomination. Kirkpatrick has been added to the DCCC Red-to-Blue program and was expected to raise more than the other candidates, and boy did she. Kirkpatrick brought in almost $330K and finished with $669K cash-on-hand which is well more than her 3 opponents combined.

On the Republican side Sydney Hay is the frontrunner and the real wildcard was going to be newcomer Dr. Sandra Livingstone. Hay showed she raised $95K in the second quarter, but that number creates a severe credibility gap for Hay and her campaign. Hay’s campaign issued a release the first week of April saying they started off the quarter with a bang and a $100K single event with Barry Goldwater Jr. Either Hay’s campaign completely misrepresented the event of there is missing money somewhere. Livingstone did not file a report meaning the rumors she was going to post a very impressive number that blew away the field were untrue.

3rd Congressional District

Congressman John Shadegg and challenger Bob Lord have both proven they can raise money and the only question would be if Shadegg could put up a number big enough to add more separation to his cash-on-hand and Lord’s. Shadegg did just that as he raised $561K which was double the $235K Lord raised. Shadegg also finished with $1.3 million compared to Lord’s $706K. While Lord’s numbers are impressive and the strongest numbers Shadegg has had to face since he first got elected, Shadegg has done what he needs to do to keep Lord at a distance.

 

5th Congressional District

Harry Mitchell raised $338K during the second quarter and ended with $1.37 million in the bank. That number was more than twice that of his closest Republican contender David Schweikert. Schweikert led the Republicans with $162,749k raised and $520,990 in the bank. Jim Ogsbury reported $323K in the bank after raising just under $50K, Mark Anderson showed $68K in the bank and raised $29K and Laura Knaperek took in $34K and ended with 105K on hand. Susan Bitter Smith entered the race after the first quarter had ended and filed her first report. Bitter Smith showed $150K in contributions, loaned the campaign $156K and ended with $247K in the bank. Her actual contributions from donors were closer to $117K as $32K in contributions was from her own in-kind contributions.

 

8th Congressional District

Congresswomen Gabrielle Giffords continues to prove she is a fundraising star. While Tim Bee raised $390K, which is very impressive for a challenger, Giffords raked in another $562K and finished with just over $2 million in the bank compared to Bee’s $687K. Bee does have the advantage of President Bush coming in to do an even for him soon which should help close the gap some. Bee also has an advantage Bob Lord doesn’t have in PA-03, Bee already has good name ID and won’t need to buy it so he can be outspent and still have a shot. Gifford’s $2 million in the bank has to be one of largest nest eggs of any freshman in the country.

More Inside Edge including full FEC numbers

Comments

Hay Numbers


I disagree. Even if you give ten days on either end of the quarter, the numbers still don't add up. And Sydney's statement made it sound like all the money was for the 2nd quarter. Sounds like this was just another tactic sydney was using to scare solid candidates like Kris mayes out of the race. Sydney is not garnering new support outside of her base. She had to get the state party to make a Rule 11 letter for her to try and force out other candidates. the state party did the letter on May 30, a full 5 days before the filing deadline, seems like a preemptive move by the party. i wonder who was pressuring them?

07/17/08 12:49 am

Hay Numbers


I disagree. Even if you give ten days on either end of the quarter, the numbers still don't add up. And Sydney's statement made it sound like all the money was for the 2nd quarter. Sounds like this was just another tactic sydney was using to scare solid candidates like Kris mayes out of the race. Sydney is not garnering new support outside of her base. She had to get the state party to make a Rule 11 letter for her to try and force out other candidates. the state party did the letter on May 30, a full 5 days before the filing deadline, seems like a preemptive move by the party. i wonder who was pressuring them?

07/17/08 12:38 am

Q2 Number are up, now lets take a look under the hood


Wally,

In you review of 1st Congressional District
You mentioned Sydney Hay reported her campaign had raised $95K in the second quarter, which you took issue with because the campaign had issued a release about fund raiser event with Barry Goldwater Jr. that raised 100K+ You wrote "Either Hay’s campaign completely misrepresented the event of there is missing money somewhere."
The invitations for the event were mailed early March. Most of the funds came in and where correctly reported in the 1st quarter. Thank you for correcting this

07/16/08 6:34 pm

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